The price of Bitcoin has once again found itself in a choppy market, dashing any hopes of a swift breakthrough to new all-time highs. Despite this setback, recent on-chain data suggests that the current bull cycle may still have room to run, albeit at a slower pace. Let’s delve into the implications of Bitcoin’s recent “euphoria wave” and what it means for the ongoing bull run.
According to blockchain intelligence firm Glassnode, Bitcoin has entered the euphoria phase of the market cycle. This observation is based on the “Percent Supply in Profit” metric, which measures the percentage of the total circulating Bitcoin supply that is currently in profit. Glassnode notes that during the euphoria phase, the supply in profit typically hovers around the 90% mark, signaling heightened investor sentiment and increased market speculation.
Glassnode’s data reveals that 93.4% of the circulating Bitcoin supply is currently in profit, with the euphoria wave being described as “relatively young”. The on-chain analytics platform points out that this phase has been active for approximately two and a half months. Historically, the euphoria phase can act as a precursor to market tops, often followed by a period of consolidation and price correction.
If we look at the previous market cycle, which featured a 6-month euphoria wave, we can speculate that there may still be several months left in the current bull run. The profitability of Bitcoin plays a crucial role in determining the duration of its bull cycle and its overall trajectory moving forward. As such, monitoring key metrics like accumulation addresses and large holders’ behavior can offer insights into market sentiment and potential price movements.
One notable trend in the Bitcoin market is the continuous rise in accumulation addresses, indicating a growing interest in acquiring and holding Bitcoin. On-chain analysts have observed a significant increase in the number of new BTC accumulation addresses, despite Bitcoin’s lackluster price action in recent months. Moreover, institutional investors and large holders have been actively accumulating Bitcoin, suggesting confidence in the digital asset’s long-term value.
As of the latest data, Bitcoin is trading at $67,744, reflecting a modest 0.4% increase in the past 24 hours. Over the last month, Bitcoin has seen a 15% gain in value, showcasing its resilience amidst market volatility. While short-term price fluctuations are inevitable, the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin remain strong, bolstered by growing adoption and institutional interest.
While Bitcoin may be experiencing a period of market uncertainty, the long-term outlook remains positive. Monitoring key indicators and on-chain data can help investors navigate volatile market conditions and make informed decisions regarding their Bitcoin holdings. As the cryptocurrency landscape continues to evolve, staying informed and adapting to market dynamics will be crucial for success in the digital asset space.